Disruption Intelligence · War Games Simulation

See the cascade coming.
Train your teams to stop it.

Shepherd gives aviation operations teams two things: real-time intelligence to see disruption risk before it compounds — and simulation-based training to build the decision muscle memory to act on it decisively when it does.

Pillar One
Live Disruption Intelligence

See the network.
Before it breaks.

Shepherd's intelligence layer surfaces connection risk, network fragility, and cascade exposure in real time. Operations teams get the full downstream picture before the window to act closes — not after the cascade has already started.

The Problem It Solves
Connection clusters, fragility scores, and cascade flags are scattered across systems — or not surfaced at all until the window to act has closed. Shepherd consolidates them into a single, proactive intelligence picture.
SHEPHERD / LIVE — 14:32 UTC Fragility: ELEVATED · 3 flags
BA2201
+47 min · 82 connections at risk · Cut-off in 38 min
Cascade
BA4412
Crew FTL limit · 2 standby available · 90 min window
FTL Watch
BA0871
CTOT closing · Slot held 22 min · Handler SLA risk
Slot
BA1103
On time · 12 connections protected · No flags
Nominal
Platform features

What Intelligence gives you.

01
Connection Risk Scoring

Every inbound flight is scored against its connection cluster in real time. Misconnect probability, passenger volume at risk, and rebooking options are surfaced before the aircraft lands — not after.

Live misconnect probability per flight
Connection cluster passenger count
Downstream rebooking capacity flagged
02
Network Fragility Mapping

Shepherd scores the structural fragility of your network at any given moment — identifying which routes, crew pools, and aircraft are operating closest to their limits before a trigger event hits.

Crew FTL proximity indicators
Thin-route single-point-of-failure flags
Slot window pressure scoring
03
Cascade Flag & Impact Mapping

When a delay or cancellation occurs, Shepherd immediately maps its full downstream cascade — flagging affected connections, welfare obligations, and crew constraint knock-ons across the entire day's operation.

Automated cascade chain mapping
EU261 / FTL exposure flagged instantly
Priority action sequencing surfaced
04
Real-Time Disruption Dashboard

A single operational picture across your network — live flight status, fragility scores, active cascade flags, and passenger impact metrics consolidated in one place for every team that needs visibility.

Cross-network live status view
Role-based visibility layers
Configurable alert thresholds
Who it's for

Every team that needs
situational awareness.

The intelligence layer is built for anyone in your organisation who needs to see what's happening — and what's about to happen — across the network in real time.

Operations & Network Teams
Live cascade visibility and connection risk scoring to support real-time decisions on delay and cancellation events.
Ground & Airport Teams
Welfare obligation flags and passenger impact data to support ground-side recovery execution.
Customer Experience Teams
Passenger-level disruption data and compensation exposure flags to support proactive customer communication.
Senior Leadership
Network-wide fragility picture and cascade risk scoring for strategic oversight during major disruption events.
Credentials

Built from inside
the problem.

Operational Origin

Founded by a former British Airways Customer Experience Expert who owned the Heathrow disruption management product — and was in the room when it actually happened during the May 2017 global IT outage. This is not an academic product.

Industry Validation

The founding team's predecessor disruption intelligence project was selected for the IATA accelerate@iata programme — a competitive cohort of the highest-potential aviation startups globally.

Category Signal

Navi AI's recent $6.7M raise confirmed investor confidence in AI-powered ops tools. Shepherd owns the decision-making layer.

Get started

See your network clearly.
Before passengers do.

Request a briefing to discuss your operations context and how the Shepherd intelligence layer maps to it.

Request a Briefing

No sales process. Direct conversation with the founding team — [email protected]

Pillar Two
War Games & Simulation

Train the decisions
that matter most.

Seeing the cascade is only half the problem. Teams need the practised decision instincts to act on it — fast, correctly, under pressure. Shepherd's simulation layer builds that muscle memory through scored, repeatable exercises with automated after-action review.

The Problem It Solves
Pilots train in simulators. Military commanders run war games. Aviation operations teams — who make decisions with identical stakes — have no equivalent training standard. Shepherd changes that.
Live Simulation
SESSION-WG-003 / CREW-LIMITS / TRIAGE
⚡ Inject — T+14 min

Delay cascade has pushed 4 crews into their final 2 hours simultaneously. Standby pool: 2 crews. Must select 2 of 4 FTL-affected flights. BA721 (82 connections, 4h20), BA722 (12 connections, 1h45), BA723 (45 connections, crew at dest), BA724 (last service, 180 pax).

AAllocate to BA721 (highest connection risk) and BA724 (no alternative). Cancel BA722 and BA723.Optimal
BAllocate to longest-haul BA721 and BA723 by flight time.
CAllocate to easiest-to-operate flights to maximise success probability.
Platform features

What War Games gives you.

01
Scenario Engine

Branching disruption scenarios across crew, connection, runway, weather, and systems events. Built from real industry event patterns. New scenarios authored by your own teams in minutes.

Crew, slot, connection, weather, runway types
Configurable cascade branching
Replayable and editable scenario library
02
Live Facilitator Control

Real-time session runner for facilitators. Inject events mid-session, pause for debrief, and monitor every participant's decision path simultaneously. War room and individual views available.

Live event injection mid-session
Per-participant decision tracking
War room and individual views
03
Automated Scoring

System-derived scoring across five dimensions — cascade awareness, priority accuracy, regulatory compliance, resource efficiency, and passenger impact. No self-reporting. No subjectivity.

5 scored decision dimensions
Configurable dimension weighting
Benchmarked against industry norms
04
After Action Review

Every session ends with a detailed automated debrief. Decision patterns identified. Benchmark gaps surfaced. Recommended focus areas for the next session generated automatically.

Automated post-session debrief report
Decision pattern gap analysis
Next-session recommendations
05
Team Benchmarking

Individual and cohort performance tracked across sessions over time. Identify decision gaps by role, shift, and experience level. Progress measurable and reportable to leadership.

Cross-session performance tracking
Role and shift-level gap analysis
Exportable progress reports
06
Executive War Games

Strategic-level exercises for directors and senior leadership. Network-wide scenario planning. Stress-test recovery frameworks and crisis governance before the next major event.

C-suite and director-level facilitation
Network-wide strategic scenarios
Benchmarked against McKinsey/BCG war games
After Action Review

Decisions scored.
Patterns revealed.

Scoring is system-derived — not self-reported. Scenario options are pre-tagged with cascade and priority metadata, producing consistent, deterministic assessment across every participant and session.

Insight — Session WG-003

Cascade awareness score (6.2/10) was 18% below benchmark. Pattern: consistently under-protected connection clusters when the primary disruption was crew-origin. Recommended: crew-cascade scenario block in next session.

Session WG-003 · Operations Team Alpha7.4 / 10
Cascade Awareness
6.2
Priority Accuracy
8.0
Regulatory Compliance
9.0
Resource Efficiency
7.4
Passenger Impact
6.8
Get started

Build the muscle memory
before the next event.

We work with a focused set of airline partners. Request a briefing to discuss your operations context and how Shepherd War Games maps to it.

Request a Briefing

No sales process. Direct conversation with the founding team — [email protected]