Aviation Operations · Decision Intelligence Platform

Better decisions.
Faster recovery.

The decision intelligence platform for airline operations — providing real-time decision support and enabling teams to train, benchmark, and evidence disruption decisions under real-world constraints across live and simulated operations.

20%
Faster time-to-first-decision Target outcome by Session 5 — measured by scoring engine
+15pts
Cascade awareness improvement Average gain Sessions 1–3 across ops team cohorts
8 / 8
IOSA DSP requirements All eight satisfied in a single platform — no parallel systems
"The more you depend on automated systems, the more dangerous it is when those systems fail — and the less capable your people are of taking back control." The case for decision training — BA IT Outage, May 2017

Every incumbent vendor — Sabre, Amadeus, Lufthansa Systems — is building tools that make operations faster at optimising within a disruption. They are not building tools that make operations teams better at deciding when those optimisations hit their limits.

The pilot simulator analogy is exact: ATC candidates complete mandatory simulation before touching live traffic. Signallers train on simulators before managing train movements. Ops teams are the only comparable high-consequence role without mandatory simulation.

Shepherd closes that gap. Not as a training product — as a decision improvement system with three deployment modes and measurable outcomes.

The Platform

Three modes.
One closed loop.

Shepherd operates before disruption, during the critical window, and after every event. Each mode is independently deployable. Together they form a decision improvement flywheel that compounds over time.

Mode 01
Before Disruption
War Games
Simulation

Scored, scenario-based exercises that build the decision muscle memory that no optimisation tool can substitute. Ops teams train on the exact constraint collisions — crew FTL, slot windows, connection clusters — that matter most when it's real.

5-dimension scored decision tracking
Automated After Action Review
Benchmark comparison vs industry norms
IOSA DSP training evidence — automated
Executive War Games for C-suite
Mode 02
During Disruption
Live Decision
Intelligence

The Decision Intelligence Copilot surfaces ranked recovery options with cost and legal exposure before the window closes. The Network Fragility Heatmap shows cascade risk before it materialises. T-656/24 compliance flagging prevents voluntary decisions from voiding the EU261 defence.

Ranked recovery options with £ exposure
Network fragility scoring in real time
Codeshare and partner metal visibility
T-656/24 voluntary hold flagging
Cascade flag and impact mapping
Mode 03
After Every Event
Post-Disruption
Learning

Every live disruption event automatically seeds the scenario library. The Post-Disruption Review module replays what happened against the optimal path — converting institutional knowledge into structured, scored training. The gap between what your team did and what they should have done becomes permanent learning, not a folder that gets filed.

Automatic scenario library population
Live event replay against optimal path
Team performance delta — scored
Recommended focus for next session
Simulation

Pressure that performs
like the real thing.

Every scenario is timed, cascading, and scored. Ops teams face the exact constraint collisions that produce bad decisions in live operations — crew FTL, connection clusters, and slot windows simultaneously.

01 Mission Rehearsal — Ingest tomorrow's actual SSIM schedule. Train on real flights before the shift starts. Not simulation. Mission rehearsal.
02 AI Injects — Dynamic scenario branches generated by the AI engine. Every session is different. Facilitators control tempo, escalation, and difficulty.
03 War Room View — Multi-participant sessions with live facilitator control, team benchmarking, and a shared operational picture that mirrors the real ops centre environment.
SESSION WG-007 · T+22 MIN · CREW LIMITS
⚡ Live Inject — Crew FTL Critical
Engineering delay has pushed 3 crews into FTL-critical territory simultaneously. Standby pool: 2 crews. Must select 2 of 3 affected flights. BA721 (82 connections, 4h20 duty remaining). BA442 (12 connections, last service thin route). BA256 (44 connections, crew at base tonight).
A
Assign standby to BA721 (highest connection risk) and BA442 (no alternative service). Cancel BA256 — crew positioning risk acceptable.
Optimal
B
Assign to longest duty-remaining crews regardless of connection exposure.
C
Escalate to senior management — too many variables for individual decision.
Session WG-007 · Ops Team Alpha · After Action Review 7.4
Decision Speed
7.8
Cascade Awareness
6.2
Priority Ordering
8.0
Passenger Outcome
7.4
Decision Accuracy
8.8
Pattern Identified
Cascade awareness score 18% below benchmark. Pattern: consistently under-protected connection clusters when origin disruption is crew-based. Recommended focus: crew-cascade scenario block — next session.
SHEPHERD / LIVE INTELLIGENCE · 14:32 UTC Fragility: ELEVATED · 3 flags
BA2201
+47 min delay · 82 connections at risk · Cut-off in 38 min · Cascade: BA4412, BA0871
Cascade
BA4412
Crew FTL limit — 2 standby available · 90 min window · EU261 flag
FTL Watch
BA0871
CTOT closing · Slot held 22 min · T-656/24 — voluntary hold flag
Legal Flag
BA1103
On time · 12 connections protected · No flags
Nominal
Decision Intelligence Copilot · Ranked Recovery Options
Option 1 (Recommended): Cancel BA2201. Est. total cost £47K. EU261 exposure: £18K. Protects 34 onward connections. Crew repositioned for BA4412 — FTL resolved.

Option 2: Hold BA2201 40 min. Est. total cost £61K. Caution: T-656/24 exposure — voluntary hold may void extraordinary circumstances defence.
Live Intelligence

The full picture,
before the window closes.

The Decision Intelligence Copilot doesn't replace the ops team's decision. It ensures the decision is made with complete information — cascade impact, cost exposure, legal liability, and codeshare passenger visibility — before the window closes, not after the cascade has started.

Codeshare Visibility
Passengers on partner-operated metal — invisible in standard operational feeds — are surfaced explicitly with their connection risk and reaccommodation options modelled alongside mainline inventory.
T-656/24 Compliance
Under T-656/24, voluntarily holding a flight can become the determining cause of the delay — voiding the EU261 defence on that rotation and downline. Shepherd flags this before the decision is made.
Decision Scoring

Five dimensions.
No self-reporting.

Scoring is system-derived from pre-tagged scenario options. Deterministic, consistent, and benchmarked against industry norms — not against a facilitator's subjective assessment. Every session produces the same quality of evidence regardless of who runs it.

Dimension 01
Decision Speed
Time from scenario trigger to first priority decision. Benchmarked against industry practitioner norms. Tracks improvement across session arc.
Weight: 20%
Dimension 02
Decision Accuracy
Whether the decision selected matches the optimal tagged response for the constraint set presented. Adjusted for partial credit on near-optimal choices.
Weight: 25%
Dimension 03
Cascade Awareness
Whether second and third-order effects were anticipated before they materialised. The most differentiating dimension between junior and senior ops personnel.
Weight: 25%
Dimension 04
Priority Ordering
Whether constraints were sequenced correctly under time pressure — closing windows before open ones, by passenger impact, by regulatory exposure.
Weight: 15%
Dimension 05
Passenger Outcome
Total disrupted passengers, misconnects, welfare provision triggered, and EU261/UK261 liability generated. The commercial consequence of the decision chain.
Weight: 15%
Regulatory Compliance

IOSA audit evidence.
Automatic.

Shepherd satisfies all eight IOSA DSP training evidence requirements in a single platform. Every session generates structured evidence automatically — no parallel documentation system required. The 450 airlines on a two-year IOSA renewal cycle are entering audit preparation continuously.

The market entry signal
Airlines entering IOSA audit preparation have a procurement trigger, a compliance deadline, and a quantifiable cost of non-compliance. Shepherd enters as a compliance solution and stays as a performance platform.
DSP 1.1 — Operations Training Programme
Structured training with measurable competency outcomes
DSP 1.2 — IROPS Scenario Training
Scenario-based exercises covering irregular operations
DSP 1.3 — Performance Assessment
Documented individual and team performance records
DSP 1.4 — Decision Quality Measurement
Systematic scoring of decision quality against benchmarks
DSP 2.1 — After Action Review
Structured post-event debrief with documented findings
DSP 2.2 — Recurrent Training Evidence
Session logs and progression records across time
DSP 3.1 — Competency Benchmarking
Individual scores benchmarked against cohort and industry norms
DSP 3.2 — Regulatory Awareness Training
EU261/UK261 and FTL compliance scenarios with scored outcomes
The Data Flywheel

Every session makes the
next one more valuable.

Unlike point solutions, Shepherd compounds. Historical events seed scenarios. Scenarios produce decisions. Decisions produce norming data. Norming data improves assessment accuracy. Assessment accuracy attracts more sessions.

Event Data
Real disruption events seed the scenario library automatically
Simulation
Teams train on real event patterns under scored conditions
Decision Data
Every decision captured — what was chosen, what was optimal
Benchmarks
Norming cohort builds industry-wide decision quality benchmarks
Screening
Benchmarks power hiring assessment accuracy — second revenue stream
Credentials
Operational Origin
Built from inside a BA disruption operations role

Shepherd was founded by a former British Airways disruption product owner — responsible for the tools, processes, and decisions governing how thousands of disrupted passengers were managed at Heathrow every day.

The May 2017 BA global IT outage — one of the most significant operational events in the airline's history — is where the decision gap became undeniable. Shepherd was conceived inside the disruption events it is designed to prevent.

Industry Validation
Predecessor project selected for IATA accelerate@iata

The founding team's predecessor disruption intelligence project was selected for the IATA accelerate@iata programme — a competitive cohort of the highest-potential aviation startups globally. Founder-level validation of the problem space.

Category signal: Navi AI's $6.7M raise from United Airlines Ventures confirmed investor conviction in AI-powered operations intelligence. Navi operates at the pilot skills layer. Shepherd owns the operations decision layer Navi doesn't touch.

Get Started

The readiness gap
is the opportunity.

Request a briefing. We'll walk you through the platform, run a sample scenario with your team, and map Shepherd against your specific IOSA audit cycle and disruption profile.

Shepherd · shephr.io · hello@shephr.io · Disruption Intelligence for Aviation